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Arbitrage. No, Not the Movie - Arbitrage Investing


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It started out as a
value investment and turned into an M&A arbitrage. We found and bought shares in
an undervalued high-tech company, specifically, EMC on June 19, 2015 and paid
$27.02 a share. At the time we estimated its value to be around $40.00 per
share. EMC’s primary business was enterprise hardware and software. And they had
a controlling interest in VMWare (VMW). That was selling around $72.00 a share.
VMWare alone had a very promising future and the real asset that was the gem in
the EMC basket.
Then
on October 12, 2015, it was announced via a merger agreement that DELL would
acquire EMC. On that particular day VMWare had opened at $73.90 and closed at
$72.27. The very following day after the announcement VMWare opened at $70.86
and closed at $69.31. Just as a point of reference a few months down the road
VMWare was selling at $61.09 on July 19, 2016. Needless to say, the announced
acquisition had placed a damper on the stock price. The DELL deal offered EMC
shareholders cash for each share plus the rights to 0.111(conversion ratio) in a
tracking share stock tied to the VMW’s business performance. Most
EMC
shareholders were very upset over the deal and many sold their share. So for a
while the share price of EMC declined.
However, as the
closure of the deal approached and all the approvals were obtained, the price of
the EMC share begin to increase. They were up to $29.75 just before the
EMC
stock stopped trading. Thus the question is why? Well the answer is simple
really. What most retail investors did not realize was that the tracking stock (DVMT)
was worth more. Most thought that the big players were out to get them, by
buying them out via the offer and reducing their amount of share ownership in
the new company. They were being short changed as a
EMC shareholder by only
receiving 0.111 in the new company and it had no voting rights. And as a result
many EMC shareholders sold their share out of anger. All true.
Although another way
of looking at it was they would get hard cold cash which they could reinvest
into another investment opportunity and that they were getting 0.111 in the
tracking stock for absolutely nothing, you paid nothing for it, it was totally
FREE. Not to mention, the tracking stock was tied to the best performing asset
VMWare, (VMW) and a combined company of an up and coming high-tech with great
potential in the market place. After the paperwork was done, the
EMC share price
was $28.55 and thus we realized a Cumulative Return of 5.66% (4.54% Annualized
Return). And DVMT was priced at $47.20 a share and we later sold it on 3/14/17
at $63.56 which gave us a 34.66% Cumulative Return (77.73% Annualized Return).
But remember, we actually paid nothing for the DVMT shares. Plus, we redeployed
the cash.
As Warren Buffet has
said, “In the business world, the rearview mirror is always clearer than the
windshield.” However, as long-term value investors, we tend to look more into
the future. Similar to what Wayne Gretzky (NHL player) said, “Skate to where the
puck is going, not where it has been.” Since we thought of it differently, we
held our shares as we recommended the same to our subscribers.
Undervalued companies over history have proven to provide many
opportunities to increase your capital. That is why value investing it is
still around after 83 years. When a company like
EMC is undervalued, it
creates various opportunities like the one discussed above. This
is one of the many benefits of our service. We find specific investment
opportunities using security analysis research to find undervalued opportunities
for our subscribers in our PWC STOCK REPORTSSM
service.
At Port Wren Capital, LLC, we specialize in
picking specific undervalued U.S. stocks using fundamental analysis developed by
Benjamin Graham using a
five step process. We have
beaten the S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ benchmarks
since we started 5 years ago on our own investments. Discover the difference for
yourself. To learn more contact us today.
Published: 4/1/17
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Phone: 803-415-1935
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